By: Reza Hosseini
Khamenei has said that “America does not fight us and we will not negotiate”
The question is, what is the Iranian regime investing in its calculations?
And what is the design and scenario for survival?
A glance at the views of the Iranian regime’s leaders and analysts is that the mullahs regime is unlikely to make the United States enter into another war against the regime after the war in Iraq and its political and economic costs.
And this is why Khamenei wants to improve moral for his own feared forces. On the other hand, he hopes to make political changes in the American government and specifically is waiting for the results of the upcoming US election and is sitting on his policies and agenda.
He thinks that to counter the new round of US sanctions starting November 4th, and escape from the political and social consequences inside Iran he continue to negotiate a nuclear deal with Europe, keep the contract with the US, and avoid sanctions. On the other hand, he thinks the congressional composition may change in the upcoming US election, that would allow for changes in the US foreign policy that the regime would benefit from.
Even if we assume that the composition of Congress will change in the coming election, is there something in the relationship with the Iranian regime? It is clear that even if the composition of the congress changes, there will be no benefit to the Iranian regime. There is bipartisan consensus in the United States regarding the reaction and confrontation of the Iranian regime.
This index is also the result of a two-time vote in both the House of Representatives and the Senate.
The American public is about to deal with the Iranian regime almost equally against the mullahs’ regime, of course, the discovery of Iran’s spy and terrorist networks in the United States has also spurred this space. That’s why it’s not even possible to change the composition of the US Congress in favor of the regime.
In addition, foreign policy is within the authority of the US government and is an internal policy that has a major impact on congressional elections. Therefore, as some Iranian regime experts say, this is a false hope, and it is unlikely that the future process with change in favor of the regime.
The question arises:
Don’t the Khamenei and the leaders of the Iranian regime know this? Why are they waiting for future developments? The fact is that Khamenei and the Leaders of the Iranian regime know and have repeatedly said, that the danger will be from inside Iran, the uprising of the Iranian regime and will be the threat to the Mullahs’ regime.
This is an example of a saying that says:
When moving from one point to another, it is possible to find a solution to a problem.
In fact, the Mullahs want to be held until the next US election to avoid any effects of the US government policy in expanding protests inside Iran, until they find a way to end their deadlock. They think that maybe with the policy of contraction, increased repression and execution inside Iran, the continued issuance of terrorism or false exponential power beyond their borders to be able overcome the “dangerous and decisive period.” However, it is clear that in both negotiations, contractions and repressions, they will face a flood of angry Iranian people.
After decades, Khomeini, referring to the PMOI and its leadership said, “Our enemy is neither America, Russia or Israel! But our enemy is here in Tehran!” Again, the main enemy of the mullahs is the Mujahideen! The problem and nightmare that has engaged the regime over the past four decades, has not made it easy for the Mullahs for one moment.” An enemy that does not know the time or place is not worth the time of scrolling!
At this juncture, the role of a powerful organization and an unparalleled alternative to organizing demonstrations, protest and strikes for the Iranian people against the mullah’s regime is evident. Until the overthrow of this regime, unrest will continue.
Reza Hosseini is a writer, analyst, expert on Iranian affairs, a human rights activist and a defender of the rights of women, children and political prisoners